Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Italy	Super Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Cristina Bucsa		Marina Stakusic

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.16	Watch
	1.7	2.26
	1.72	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.7	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.9)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cristina Bucsa
56.5%

Marina Stakusic
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cristina Bucsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cristina Bucsa's performance.

Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marina Stakusic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cristina Bucsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marina Stakusic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Cristina Bucsa - Marina Stakusic Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bucsa will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Stakusic will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stakusic: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marina Stakusic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bucsa is ranked WTA: 63. Stakusic is ranked WTA: 142.

Bucsa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stakusic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bucsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Stakusic will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Cristina Bucsa - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cristina Bucsa
WTA Merida
24.02.26	Cristina Bucsa - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Ella Seidel - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
09.02.26	Dayana Yastremska - Cristina Bucsa	2:1 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
02.02.26	Sonay Kartal - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- Marina Stakusic
WTA Merida
23.02.26	Marina Stakusic - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Priscilla Hon - Marina Stakusic	Stakusic M. retired ✺
14.01.26	Lin Zhu - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Teodora Kostovic - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 W?WWW

Cristina Bucsa - Marina Stakusic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide