Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Marina Stakusic		Dayana Yastremska

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.45	1.54	Watch
	2.52	1.50	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.36	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.38)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Stakusic
37.7%

Dayana Yastremska
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dayana Yastremska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marina Stakusic - Dayana Yastremska Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stakusic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Yastremska will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stakusic (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yastremska (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Stakusic (1.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Yastremska (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stakusic (votes: 3 - 50%). Yastremska (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stakusic is ranked WTA: 139. Yastremska is ranked WTA: 44.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Yastremska may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yastremska is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Stakusic
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Priscilla Hon - Marina Stakusic	Stakusic M. retired ✺
14.01.26	Lin Zhu - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Teodora Kostovic - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Marina Stakusic - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?WWWL
- Dayana Yastremska
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Dayana Yastremska - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Dayana Yastremska - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Dayana Yastremska - Cristina Bucsa	2:1 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
04.02.26	Dayana Yastremska - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Dayana Yastremska - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

Marina Stakusic - Dayana Yastremska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide