Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Cyril Vandermeersch		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.64)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cyril Vandermeersch
38%

Calvin Hemery
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cyril Vandermeersch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cyril Vandermeersch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

Vandermeersch is ranked ATP: 426. Hemery is ranked ATP: 295.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Hemery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hemery could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cyril Vandermeersch
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Cyril Vandermeersch - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Radu Albot - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Cyril Vandermeersch - Thomas Faurel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Calvin Hemery - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Calvin Hemery - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Calvin Hemery - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

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