Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Calvin Hemery		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.3	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.97	1.34	Watch
	3.55	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.58)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
29.5%

Francesco Passaro
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calvin Hemery's form might have worsened.

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Calvin Hemery - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hemery will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Passaro will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesco Passaro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 260. Passaro is ranked ATP: 140.

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hemery won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Francesco Passaro - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.18%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Calvin Hemery - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Calvin Hemery - Joao Dinis Silva	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Patrick Kypson - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Nerman Fatic - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mark Lajal - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.03.19	Calvin Hemery - Francesco Passaro	2:0

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