Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)	2.24 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
58.6%

Daniel Rincon
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalibor Svrcina's form might have worsened.

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Rincon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalibor Svrcina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Dalibor Svrcina - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dalibor Svrcina will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 127. Rincon is ranked ATP: 212.

Recent form of Svrcina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rincon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Svrcina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Svrcina might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Dalibor Svrcina - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.36%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Norbert Gombos - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Vit Kopriva - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
05.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Luca Nardi - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Tristan Boyer - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Mees Rottgering - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Daniel Rincon - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW

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