Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday


	Luca Nardi		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.37	2.8	Watch
	1.51	2.61
	1.54	2.42	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.37	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)	2.63 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
64.5%

Daniel Rincon
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luca Nardi - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rincon will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 95. Rincon is ranked ATP: 212.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nardi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nardi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLW
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Tristan Boyer - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Mees Rottgering - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Daniel Rincon - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Daniel Rincon - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Daniel Rincon - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
28.01.24	Luca Nardi - Daniel Rincon	0:2

Luca Nardi - Daniel Rincon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide