Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3	1.34
	3	1.37
	3.05	1.32
	3.26	1.35
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.99)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
30.2%

Sebastian Baez
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.4%	0%	89.6%

Dalibor Svrcina - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (43 of 48 users predict this - 89.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.94% – 98.22%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Svrcina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baez is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Svrcina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Svrcina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
27.09.21	Dalibor Svrcina - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
20.09.21	Dalibor Svrcina - Peter Heller	Svrcina D. retired ✺
19.09.21	Dalibor Svrcina - Bogdan Bobrov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.08.21	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
19.08.21	Toby Alex Kodat - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?WLW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Challenger
12.09.21	Sebastian Baez - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Sebastian Baez - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
10.09.21	Sebastian Baez - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
09.09.21	Sebastian Baez - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
07.09.21	Sebastian Baez - Illya Beloborodko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.09.20	Sebastian Baez - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0

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