Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Villers-les-Nancy, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Damian Wenger		Arthur Nagel

	1	2
	2.25	1.61
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.2	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damian Wenger
39.9%

Arthur Nagel
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damian Wenger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damian Wenger's form might have worsened.

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Nagel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damian Wenger than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damian Wenger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Nagel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Damian Wenger - Arthur Nagel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wenger is ranked ATP: 634. Nagel is ranked ATP: 878.

Recent performances by Wenger have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nagel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nagel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Nagel will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wenger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damian Wenger
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Damian Wenger - Simon Reveniau	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Damian Wenger - Aaron Gabet	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Damian Wenger - Mika Petkovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Damian Wenger - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Damian Wenger - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW
- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Gabriele Volpi	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Damien Clerc	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Liam Broady - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Stefan Seifert	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Mickael Kaouk - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Arthur Nagel - Damian Wenger	2:1
14.03.25	Arthur Nagel - Damian Wenger	0:2

Damian Wenger - Arthur Nagel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide