Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes (France) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 1 July 2024, Monday

Referee: De Beaucoudrey E. (Fra)


	Damian Wenger		Olaf Pieczkowski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.32	3.24
	1.36	2.98
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	3.03	Watch
	1.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)	2.97 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damian Wenger
68.8%

Olaf Pieczkowski
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damian Wenger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Damian Wenger's performance.

Olaf Pieczkowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olaf Pieczkowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damian Wenger than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damian Wenger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaf Pieczkowski than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olaf Pieczkowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Damian Wenger - Olaf Pieczkowski Predictions

Users Predictions: Damian Wenger will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pieczkowski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wenger is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damian Wenger
ATP Challenger
30.06.24	Damian Wenger - Lancelot Erler	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.06.24	Damian Wenger - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Damian Wenger - Gian Gruenig	2:1 ✺
20.06.24	Thomas Gerbaud - Damian Wenger	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Michele Ribecai - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW
- Olaf Pieczkowski
ATP Challenger
30.06.24	Thijmen Loof - Olaf Pieczkowski	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.06.24	Henri Laaksonen - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Hynek Barton - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.06.24	Olaf Pieczkowski - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
13.05.24	Olaf Pieczkowski - Alexander Frusina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Damian Wenger - Olaf Pieczkowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide