Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Damir Dzumhur		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.58
	2.36	1.61
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.68)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
40.1%

Andrea Vavassori
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Andrea Vavassori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damir Dzumhur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Vavassori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Damir Dzumhur - Andrea Vavassori Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Vavassori will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vavassori: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Vavassori will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dzumhur won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Dubai
24.02.24	Damir Dzumhur - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.24	Damir Dzumhur - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Fabio Fognini - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.24	Richard Gasquet - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Daniel Rincon - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Matias Soto - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Andrea Vavassori - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Andrea Vavassori - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Andrea Vavassori - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
23.08.23	Damir Dzumhur - Andrea Vavassori	0:2
ATP Marrakech
05.04.22	Damir Dzumhur - Andrea Vavassori	2:1

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