Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maia (Portugal) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	11:00	Sport TV2


	Damir Dzumhur		Federico Coria

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2.02	1.85
	2.02	1.83	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.09)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
47.7%

Federico Coria
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Damir Dzumhur - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Coria will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 106. Coria is ranked ATP: 101.

Two players are playing changeable.

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dzumhur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Coria - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
20.11.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
11.11.24	Damir Dzumhur - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
29.11.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Adrian Andreev - Federico Coria	Coria F. walkover ✺
26.11.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Federico Coria	Blancaneaux G. retired ✺
16.11.24	Hugo Dellien - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
15.11.24	Federico Coria - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W??LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
14.09.20	Damir Dzumhur - Federico Coria	0:2

Damir Dzumhur - Federico Coria