Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo (Uruguay), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Hugo Dellien		Federico Coria

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.69	2.25
	1.72	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	2.19 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
57.2%

Federico Coria
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Hugo Dellien - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: Hugo Dellien will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien is ranked ATP: 126. Coria is ranked ATP: 101.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Dellien will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dellien won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
15.11.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Orlando Luz - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
12.11.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.11.24	Hugo Dellien - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
15.11.24	Federico Coria - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Federico Coria - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
12.11.24	Federico Coria - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Henrique Rocha - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Daniel Vallejo - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.01.23	Federico Coria - Hugo Dellien	2:0
13.11.21	Federico Coria - Hugo Dellien	1:2
02.11.19	Hugo Dellien - Federico Coria	2:1
12.10.19	Federico Coria - Hugo Dellien	2:0

Hugo Dellien - Federico Coria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide