Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ostrava (Czech Republic), clay - Final

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Savic M. (Aus)


	Damir Dzumhur		Henri Squire

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.68	2.1
	1.72	2.19
	1.73	2.19
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.06	Watch
	1.74	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)	2.08 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
54.7%

Henri Squire
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henri Squire's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henri Squire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Damir Dzumhur - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dzumhur in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Squire is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Squire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dzumhur to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dzumhur won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
27.04.24	Damir Dzumhur - Manuel Guinard	Guinard M. walkover ✺
26.04.24	Damir Dzumhur - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Damir Dzumhur - Peter Benjamin Privara	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Damir Dzumhur - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
14.04.24	Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Taberner	Dzumhur D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?WWW?
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
27.04.24	Timofey Skatov - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Dennis Novak - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Jelle Sels - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Henri Squire - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.24	Henri Squire - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.01.24	Henri Squire - Damir Dzumhur	0:2
25.04.23	Henri Squire - Damir Dzumhur	0:2

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