Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul (Turkey), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday

Referee: Sivri S. (Tur)


	Damir Dzumhur		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2	1.84
	1.96	1.85	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.23)	1.76 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
47%

Jack Pinnington Jones
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Damir Dzumhur's performance.

Jack Pinnington Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jack Pinnington Jones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damir Dzumhur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jack Pinnington Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Damir Dzumhur - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 82. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 497.

Dzumhur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pinnington Jones is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pinnington Jones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Pinnington Jones to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
05.09.24	Damir Dzumhur - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Damir Dzumhur - Richard Berankis	Berankis R. retired ✺
28.08.24	Damir Dzumhur - Inaki Montes De La Torre	Dzumhur D. retired ✺
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.24	Andres Andrade - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W??LW
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
05.09.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Benjamin Lock	2:1 ✺
03.09.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.08.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Johannus Monday - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

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