Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA (SLOVAKIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 June 2023, Tuesday


	Damir Dzumhur		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.91	Watch
	1.38	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.46)	2.92 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
68.1%

Lukas Neumayer
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Damir Dzumhur's performance.

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Neumayer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damir Dzumhur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Neumayer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Damir Dzumhur - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Dzumhur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neumayer is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dzumhur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dzumhur will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
05.06.23	Damir Dzumhur - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Borna Gojo - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.23	Damir Dzumhur - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
17.05.23	Damir Dzumhur - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
16.05.23	Damir Dzumhur - Aziz Ouakaa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Lukas Palovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Tim Handel	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Andrew Paulson - Lukas Neumayer	Paulson A. retired ✺
02.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWW?W

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