Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 November 2022, Wednesday


	Damir Dzumhur		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.4	1.58
	1.72	2.14
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.12	1.69	Watch
	2.32	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.95)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
42.5%

Shintaro Mochizuki
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Damir Dzumhur - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mochizuki is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
03.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Ryota Tanuma	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.22	Jason Kubler - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
07.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Nino Serdarusic	1:2 ✺
18.10.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Marek Gengel - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Ji Hoon Son - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW

Damir Dzumhur - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide