Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Dan Martin		Mikael Arseneault

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.20
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.60	2.33
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.30	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)	2.26 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Martin
58.9%

Mikael Arseneault
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Mikael Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Martin than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dan Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Arseneault than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikael Arseneault, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dan Martin - Mikael Arseneault Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 497. Arseneault is ranked ATP: 1190.

Martin is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Arseneault has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arseneault may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Martin
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Keegan Rice - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Yuta Shimizu - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Dan Martin - Zsombor Velcz	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Braden Shick - Dan Martin	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Ronald Hohmann - Dan Martin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mikael Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Timo Legout - Mikael Arseneault	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Mikael Arseneault - Ryan Colby	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Niels Peter van Noord - Mikael Arseneault	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Mikael Arseneault - Sebastian Gorzny	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Oliver Ojakaar - Mikael Arseneault	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.05.25	Dan Martin - Mikael Arseneault	2:0
ATP Challenger
13.10.24	Mikael Arseneault - Dan Martin	Martin D. retired

Dan Martin - Mikael Arseneault: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide