Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 November 2022, Monday


	Dane Sweeny		Benoit Paire

	1	2
	2.2	1.61
	2	1.72
	2.12	1.68
	2.03	1.73
	2.07	1.77
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.19	1.62	Watch
	2.01	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.38)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
44.9%

Benoit Paire
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dane Sweeny's performance.

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benoit Paire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dane Sweeny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benoit Paire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	0%	12.9%

Dane Sweeny - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 27 - 87.1%). Paire will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweeny: 75.3% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paire will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
01.11.22	Alex Bolt - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
26.10.22	Dane Sweeny - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Dane Sweeny - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.10.22	Dane Sweeny - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Dane Sweeny - Kyle Seelig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
27.10.22	Benoit Paire - Jelle Sels	Paire B. retired ✺
26.10.22	Benoit Paire - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
30.09.22	Benoit Paire - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
28.09.22	Gian Marco Moroni - Benoit Paire	Moroni M. retired ✺
27.09.22	Benoit Paire - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?WL?W

Dane Sweeny - Benoit Paire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide