Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BARLETTA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday


	Dane Sweeny		Jacopo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.1	1.68
	2.23	1.68
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.67)	1.68 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
44.4%

Jacopo Berrettini
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dane Sweeny's form might have worsened.

Jacopo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacopo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacopo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	0%	79.4%

Dane Sweeny - Jacopo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacopo Berrettini will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sweeny is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Berrettini is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ITF Tournaments
31.03.23	Dane Sweeny - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
30.03.23	Hiroki Moriya - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Jea Moon Lee - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Dane Sweeny - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW
- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
03.04.23	Salvatore Caruso - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.03.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL

Dane Sweeny - Jacopo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide