Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Louisville, KY, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Dane Sweeny		Nicolas Ian Kotzen

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.17	Watch
	1.32	3.14	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
70.7%

Nicolas Ian Kotzen
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Nicolas Ian Kotzen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Ian Kotzen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Ian Kotzen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 528. Kotzen is ranked ATP: 1246.

Sweeny has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kotzen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sweeny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sweeny is the team to beat.

We predict that Sweeny will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Keegan Smith - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Spencer Johnson - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Rohan Murali - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Ryan Colby - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Emon van Loben Sels - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Nicolas Ian Kotzen
ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Nicolas Ian Kotzen - Wally Thayne	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Nicolas Ian Kotzen - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Alex Rybakov - Nicolas Ian Kotzen	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.06.25	Nicolas Ian Kotzen - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Hyeon Chung - Nicolas Ian Kotzen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW

Dane Sweeny - Nicolas Ian Kotzen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide