Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 San Diego, CA 4, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Spencer Johnson		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	2.06	1.64
	2	1.77
			Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.24)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spencer Johnson
45.4%

Dane Sweeny
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spencer Johnson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Johnson is ranked ATP: 1252. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 575.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Johnson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Sweeny will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spencer Johnson
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Savriyan Danilov - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Lucca Liu - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Trevor Svajda - Spencer Johnson	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Spencer Johnson - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Spencer Johnson - Maciej Rajski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW
- Dane Sweeny
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Rohan Murali - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Ryan Colby - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Emon van Loben Sels - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Dane Sweeny - Kyle Kang	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Dane Sweeny - Noah Zamora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Spencer Johnson - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide