Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - Final

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Daniel Altmaier		Hamad Medjedovic

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.64	1.54
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.55	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.66)	1.49 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
37%

Hamad Medjedovic
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Altmaier's form might have worsened.

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamad Medjedovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Altmaier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamad Medjedovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Altmaier - Hamad Medjedovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Medjedovic will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 55. Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 115.

Altmaier is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Medjedovic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Medjedovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altmaier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Andrea Guerrieri	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Terence Atmane - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL
- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
26.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Hamad Medjedovic	3:2
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Daniel Altmaier	1:3
ATP Marseille
14.02.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Daniel Altmaier	2:1

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