Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Hamad Medjedovic		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.68	2.31
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)	2.2 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
57.4%

Alexandre Muller
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamad Medjedovic's performance.

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamad Medjedovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Muller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Hamad Medjedovic - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Medjedovic will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Muller will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 115. Muller is ranked ATP: 90.

Medjedovic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Muller has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Medjedovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandre Muller - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Mark Lajal	Canceled ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WW?LW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Jakub Paul - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Alexandre Muller - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Alexandre Muller	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Alexandre Muller - Norbert Gombos	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWL??

Hamad Medjedovic - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide