Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Antonio Nunez		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.65	2.19	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.14	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2)	2.2 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Antonio Nunez
57.7%

Miguel Tobon
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Antonio Nunez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Antonio Nunez's performance.

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Tobon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Antonio Nunez than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Antonio Nunez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Tobon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Daniel Antonio Nunez - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Antonio Nunez will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Antonio Nunez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nunez is ranked ATP: 801. Tobon is ranked ATP: 875.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Nunez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Antonio Nunez
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Igor Gimenez - Daniel Antonio Nunez	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Daniel Antonio Nunez	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Bruno Kuzuhara - Daniel Antonio Nunez	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
31.03.25	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Daniel Antonio Nunez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
18.04.25	Miguel Tobon - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon	Zahraj P. retired ✺
15.04.25	Aidan Mayo - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Miguel Tobon - Isaiah Strode	Strode I. retired ✺
13.04.25	Elmar Ejupovic - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 L?W?W

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