Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Patrick Zahraj		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	2.15	1.73
	2.05	1.68	Watch
			Watch
	1.94	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.54)	1.74 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Zahraj
46.3%

Miguel Tobon
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Zahraj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patrick Zahraj's form might have worsened.

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Tobon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patrick Zahraj, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tobon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zahraj is ranked ATP: 405. Tobon is ranked ATP: 563.

Zahraj has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tobon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zahraj may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zahraj won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Patrick Zahraj - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Loann Massard - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Tyler Zink - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Guillermo Tunas - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon	Zahraj P. retired

Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide