Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 2 (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday


	Daniel Cox		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.65	1.45
	2.55	1.43
	2.56	1.52
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.71	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.2)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Cox
35.8%

Gianluca Mager
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Cox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Cox's form might have worsened.

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Mager's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Cox than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Cox, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Daniel Cox - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cox will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mager will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mager: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mager will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Cox
ATP Challenger
30.01.23	Christian Harrison - Daniel Cox	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Daniel Cox - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.01.23	Daniel Cox - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
19.01.23	Daniel Cox - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
18.01.23	Daniel Cox - Sean Hodkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
18.01.23	Gianluca Mager - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
16.01.23	Gianluca Mager - Lukas Rosol	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
10.01.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
09.01.23	Gianluca Mager - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.01.23	Gianluca Mager - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL

Daniel Cox - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide