Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniel Dutra da Silva		Alex Barrena

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Daniel Dutra da Silva
45.5%

Alex Barrena
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Dutra da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrena (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Dutra da Silva is ranked ATP: 304. Barrena is ranked ATP: 568.

Dutra da Silva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barrena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Barrena could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

We predict that Barrena will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dutra da Silva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Michael Mmoh - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Franco Roncadelli - Alex Barrena	Canceled ✺
27.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Alex Barrena - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Franco Roncadelli - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 ?WWWW

ITF Tournaments
23.06.21	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Alex Barrena	0:2

Daniel Dutra da Silva - Alex Barrena