Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CONCEPCION (CHILE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 23 January 2023, Monday


	Daniel Dutra da Silva		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.44	2.55
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.73	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.8)	2.64 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Dutra da Silva
64.9%

Andrey Chepelev
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Dutra da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Dutra da Silva's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Dutra da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniel Dutra da Silva - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dutra da Silva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dutra da Silva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ATP Challenger
22.01.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
17.01.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
17.01.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
10.01.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
05.01.23	Juan Ignacio Londero - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WL?LL
- Andrey Chepelev
ATP Challenger
22.01.23	Benjamin Ignacio Herrera Delucchi - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
17.01.23	Andrey Chepelev - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
16.01.23	Arklon Huertas Del Pino - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	Wilson Leite - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
09.01.23	Andrey Chepelev - Matias Franco Descotte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

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