Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TAVIRA 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
	1.57	2.2
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.27
	1.67	2.1
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.83)	2.2 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
57.9%

Andrea Guerrieri
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Guerrieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Guerrieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Merida Aguilar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
18.10.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Altug Celikbilek - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Salvatore Caruso - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.09.23	Tibo Colson - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL
- Andrea Guerrieri
ITF Tournaments
18.10.23	Niklas Schell - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
13.10.23	Andrea Guerrieri - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
12.10.23	Andrea Guerrieri - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Andrea Guerrieri - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
21.09.23	Kris van Wyk - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide