Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Doha (Qatar), hard - Final

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Tibo Colson		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	2.08	1.72
	2.07	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.18	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.23)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tibo Colson
44%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tibo Colson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

Colson is ranked ATP: 644. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 302.

Colson is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Merida Aguilar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Colson won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tibo Colson
ITF Tournaments
25.01.25	Tibo Colson - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Tibo Colson - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Antoine Escoffier - Tibo Colson	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Tibo Colson - Leo Borg	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Cem Ilkel - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
25.01.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Cem Ilkel - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Stefan Palosi - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.01.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Duarte Vale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.09.23	Tibo Colson - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1

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