Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Henri Squire

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	2.05 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
54.7%

Henri Squire
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Squire will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Merida Aguilar (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 292. Squire is ranked ATP: 370.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Henri Squire - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Iliyan Radulov - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Iliyan Radulov	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Henri Squire - Michael Agwi	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Henri Squire - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide