Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Henri Squire

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.97)	2.13 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
56.3%

Henri Squire
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henri Squire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez Varona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henri Squire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Henri Squire Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 308. Squire is ranked ATP: 370.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alvarez Varona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.18%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Pedro Rodrigues - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Henri Squire - Michael Agwi	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Henri Squire - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Henri Squire - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide