Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.24	1.53
	2.31	1.57
	2.38	1.53
	2.32	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.46)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
40.5%

Mathys Erhard
59.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Erhard in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Erhard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Erhard will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Erhard to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
25.08.22	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
23.08.22	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Sidane Pontjodikromo	2:0 ✺
19.08.22	David Pichler - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
18.08.22	Dax Donders - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
16.08.22	Elgin Khoeblal - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
25.08.22	Dax Donders - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
24.08.22	Niels Lootsma - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
14.08.22	David Pichler - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Mathys Erhard - Jules Marie	2:0 ✺
12.08.22	Johannes Ingildsen - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mathys Erhard

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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