Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Michalski		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.84	1.99
	1.86	1.91	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.51)	1.97 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
52.6%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Michalski's form might have worsened.

Carlos Sanchez Jover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Sanchez Jover's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Sanchez Jover, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Daniel Michalski - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sanchez Jover will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sanchez Jover: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanchez Jover (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 278. Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 298.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sanchez Jover may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Michalski could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michalski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	Alexander Donski - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Federico Coria - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Patrick Zahraj - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWWW
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Benjamin Winter Lopez	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Alejandro Juan Mano	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Jordi Garcia Mestre	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Pierluigi Basile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.03.22	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Daniel Michalski	1:2

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