Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday


	Alexander Donski		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.44
	2.74	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.63)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
34.5%

Daniel Michalski
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alexander Donski - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Donski will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Michalski will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michalski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Michalski (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Michalski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 655. Michalski is ranked ATP: 272.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Michalski is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Donski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Alexander Donski - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Alexander Donski - Dominik Kellovsky	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Timofey Skatov - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Alexander Donski - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
02.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Federico Coria - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Patrick Zahraj - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Daniel Michalski - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.05.22	Daniel Michalski - Alexander Donski	Canceled

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