Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali (Rwanda) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Daniel Michalski		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.69
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.42	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	2.69 ↓ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
65.3%

Neil Oberleitner
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Neil Oberleitner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neil Oberleitner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daniel Michalski - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 332. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 442.

Michalski in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Oberleitner is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oberleitner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Michalski is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Michalski to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Daniel Michalski - Etienne Niyigena	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Daniel Michalski - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Stefan Popovic - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Mert Aytekin - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Claude Ishimwe - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Neil Oberleitner - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Neil Oberleitner - Piet Luis Pinter	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Neil Oberleitner - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL

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