Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NONTHABURI 2 (THAILAND), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2023, Tuesday


	Daniel Michalski		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.75	1.4
	2.7	1.45
	2.55	1.42
	2.82	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	2.65	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.68)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
34.9%

Shintaro Mochizuki
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Daniel Michalski - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michalski has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mochizuki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michalski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP United Cup
05.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
03.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
02.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
31.12.22	Daniel Michalski - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.11.22	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 ?LLLL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
02.01.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Antoine Escoffier	1:2 ✺
23.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
21.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Rimpei Kawakami	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Michalski	1:2

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