Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 LODZ (POLAND), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday


	Daniel Paty		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	3.4	1.26
	3.2	1.3
	3.91	1.24
	3.5	1.29
	3.42	1.27	Watch
	3.4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.96)	1.27 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Paty
26.8%

Vilius Gaubas
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Paty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Paty than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Daniel Paty - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paty is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gaubas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gaubas is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Paty
ITF Tournaments
11.08.23	Daniel Paty - Jiri Barnat	2:1 ✺
10.08.23	Daniel Paty - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Timo Stodder - Daniel Paty	0:2 ✺
30.07.23	Nicola Kuhn - Daniel Paty	2:0 ✺
29.07.23	Daniel Paty - Liam Gavrielides	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ITF Tournaments
11.08.23	Patrick Kaukovalta - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Iiro Vasa - Vilius Gaubas	Vasa I. retired ✺
09.08.23	Marcel Kamrowski - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
06.08.23	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Vilius Gaubas - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?WLW

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