Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Daniel Rincon		David Jorda Sanchis

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.10
	1.33	3.20	Watch
	1.34	3.05	Watch
	1.35	3.30
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.32	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	3.15 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
70.3%

David Jorda Sanchis
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Rincon's performance.

David Jorda Sanchis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Jorda Sanchis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Rincon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Jorda Sanchis than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Jorda Sanchis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Rincon - David Jorda Sanchis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Jorda Sanchis will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 257., and Jorda Sanchis is ranked ATP: 212..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Jorda Sanchis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Rincon carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Rincon has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

David Jorda Sanchis - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.16%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Daniel Rincon - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniel Rincon	Canceled ✺
28.09.26	Dino Prizmic - Daniel Rincon	Canceled ✺
22.09.26	Dino Prizmic - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WW??L
- David Jorda Sanchis
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Goncalo Marques - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Jesper De Jong	De Jong J. Retired ✺
23.09.26	Dino Prizmic - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.07.23	Daniel Rincon - David Jorda Sanchis	1:2

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