Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Goncalo Marques		David Jorda Sanchis

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2	1.7	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.38)	1.71 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goncalo Marques
45.7%

David Jorda Sanchis
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goncalo Marques has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goncalo Marques's performance.

David Jorda Sanchis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Jorda Sanchis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goncalo Marques than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goncalo Marques that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Jorda Sanchis than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Jorda Sanchis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Goncalo Marques - David Jorda Sanchis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marques is ranked ATP: 652., and Jorda Sanchis is ranked ATP: 212..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Jorda Sanchis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jorda Sanchis holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goncalo Marques
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Goncalo Marques - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Goncalo Marques - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Goncalo Marques	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Lui Maxted - Goncalo Marques	Marques G. Retired ✺
13.09.26	Patrick Schoen - Goncalo Marques	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWW?L
- David Jorda Sanchis
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Jesper De Jong	De Jong J. Retired ✺
23.09.26	Dino Prizmic - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Luca Potenza - David Jorda Sanchis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 ?LWLL

Goncalo Marques - David Jorda Sanchis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide