Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday


	Daniel Rincon		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.68	2.12
	1.71	2.14
	1.73	2.15
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	2.13 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
55.8%

Hugo Grenier
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Daniel Rincon - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Grenier will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rincon: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Grenier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rincon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Taro Daniel - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Daniel Rincon - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Daniel Rincon - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	1:2 ✺
10.04.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Lukas Klein - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.23	Hugo Grenier - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Hugo Grenier - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Hugo Grenier - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

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