Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday


	Hugo Grenier		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.2	1.63
	2.34	1.63
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.6	Watch
	2.23	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
42.2%

Marco Trungelliti
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Grenier's form might have worsened.

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Grenier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	0%	87%

Hugo Grenier - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Grenier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grenier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
03.04.23	Hugo Grenier - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Hugo Grenier - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.23	Hugo Grenier - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
26.03.23	Billy Harris - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
08.04.23	Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Marco Trungelliti - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
05.04.23	Andrea Collarini - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
03.04.23	Kyle Edmund - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
28.03.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.06.21	Marco Trungelliti - Hugo Grenier	2:0
21.10.19	Marco Trungelliti - Hugo Grenier	0:2

Hugo Grenier - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide