Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Daniel Rincon		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.10	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.74
	2.18	1.76
	2.05	1.68	Watch
	2.7	1.46	Watch
	2.10	1.66	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.76)	1.65 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
43.1%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Rincon's form might have worsened.

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Seyboth Wild's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Seyboth Wild, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Daniel Rincon - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 206. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 276.

Rincon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Seyboth Wild's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Seyboth Wild may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rincon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Seyboth Wild - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Thomas Faurel - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Laslo Djere - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWWW
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Matyas Fuele - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Peter Makk - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Vincent Marysko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.10.22	Daniel Rincon - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2

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