Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ostrava, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Daniel Rincon		Zsombor Piros

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.45	1.59
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.92)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
41.5%

Zsombor Piros
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Rincon's form might have worsened.

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zsombor Piros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Rincon - Zsombor Piros Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Piros will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rincon: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Piros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 Games - Rincon (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 1 - 50%). Piros (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 217. Piros is ranked ATP: 270.

Rincon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Piros is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rincon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Daniel Rincon - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Harold Mayot - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.25	Daniel Rincon - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Daniel Rincon - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWL
- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Jan Kumstat - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Denis Yevseyev	Yevseyev D. walkover ✺
13.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Dino Molokova Ferreira	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Valentin Royer	Piros Z. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WW?W?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Daniel Rincon - Zsombor Piros	1:2
24.09.24	Daniel Rincon - Zsombor Piros	0:2
18.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Zsombor Piros	2:1

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