Match Info

Date: 5 July 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Daniele Capecchi		Luca Castagnola

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Daniele Capecchi
68.1%

Luca Castagnola
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniele Capecchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniele Capecchi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Both players are in bad shape now.

Castagnola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Capecchi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniele Capecchi
ITF Tournaments
23.06.22	Max Houkes - Daniele Capecchi	2:1 ✺
22.06.22	Joris Moret - Daniele Capecchi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.22	Michael Geerts - Daniele Capecchi	2:0 ✺
05.06.22	Daniele Capecchi - Filippo Baldi	0:2 ✺
29.05.22	Daniele Capecchi - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
29.06.22	Jurgen Briand - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
22.06.22	Luca Castagnola - Axel Garcian	1:2 ✺
16.06.22	Luca Castagnola - Tomas Lipovsek Puches	0:2 ✺
15.06.22	Luca Castagnola - Kris Krawcewicz	2:0 ✺
01.06.22	Luca Castagnola - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Daniele Capecchi - Luca Castagnola