Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 13, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday


	Daniele Rapagnetta		Aziz Ouakaa

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.86	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)	1.84 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniele Rapagnetta
49.9%

Aziz Ouakaa
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniele Rapagnetta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniele Rapagnetta's performance.

Aziz Ouakaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aziz Ouakaa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniele Rapagnetta than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniele Rapagnetta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aziz Ouakaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniele Rapagnetta - Aziz Ouakaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rapagnetta is ranked ATP: 1089. Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 684.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ouakaa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniele Rapagnetta
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Florent Bax - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Nazim Makhlouf	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Nicolas Ifi - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:1 ✺
20.02.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Alexandr Binda	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Timofei Derepasko - Daniele Rapagnetta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Aziz Ouakaa
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Lukas Pokorny - Aziz Ouakaa	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Samuele Seghetti - Aziz Ouakaa	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Aziz Ouakaa	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Vito Tonejc - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL

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