Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Daniele Rapagnetta		Garrett Johns

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.98	1.73	Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.88	1.89
	1.80	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.22)	1.83 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniele Rapagnetta
49.5%

Garrett Johns
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniele Rapagnetta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniele Rapagnetta's performance.

Garrett Johns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garrett Johns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniele Rapagnetta than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniele Rapagnetta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garrett Johns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniele Rapagnetta - Garrett Johns Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rapagnetta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rapagnetta is ranked ATP: 777., and Johns is ranked ATP: 442..

Rapagnetta arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Johns have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rapagnetta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Rapagnetta has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Garrett Johns - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.29%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniele Rapagnetta
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Niccolo Catini	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Pietro Marino - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Carles Cordoba - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Maximilian Figl - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Daniele Rapagnetta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Garrett Johns
ITF Tournaments
21.09.26	Tristan McCormick - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.08.26	Max Purcell - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garrett Johns
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Samir Banerjee - Garrett Johns	✺

Daniele Rapagnetta - Garrett Johns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide