Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Daniele Rapagnetta		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
			Watch
	3.20	1.30
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.70	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.71)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniele Rapagnetta
32.2%

Laurent Lokoli
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniele Rapagnetta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniele Rapagnetta than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Daniele Rapagnetta - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rapagnetta is ranked ATP: 777., and Lokoli is ranked ATP: 375..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Lokoli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lokoli for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rapagnetta has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniele Rapagnetta
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Matteo Sciahbasi - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Niccolo Catini	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Pietro Marino - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Carles Cordoba - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW
- Laurent Lokoli
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Laurent Lokoli	de Marchi A. Retired ✺
23.09.26	Pasquale De Giorgio - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Marco Dessi - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Andrej Nedic - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Laurent Lokoli	0:2

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