Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Gubbio, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gubbio 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniele Rapagnetta		Lorenzo Rottoli

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.58	2.23
	1.6	2.36
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.58	2.3
	1.59	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniele Rapagnetta
58.7%

Lorenzo Rottoli
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniele Rapagnetta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lorenzo Rottoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniele Rapagnetta than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniele Rapagnetta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Rottoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniele Rapagnetta - Lorenzo Rottoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rapagnetta is ranked ATP: 805. Rottoli is ranked ATP: 892.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Rottoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rapagnetta might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniele Rapagnetta
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Pieter De Lange - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLWWW
- Lorenzo Rottoli
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Oleg Prihodko - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Johan Nikles - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Yassine Dlimi - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Massimo Giunta - Lorenzo Rottoli	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Dillon Beckles - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW

Daniele Rapagnetta - Lorenzo Rottoli

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Daniele Rapagnetta - Lorenzo Rottoli Predictions

Preview

Form

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