Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TRENTO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday


	Daniil Glinka		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.07	1.67
	2.04	1.73
	2	1.73
	2.03	1.71	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.74)	1.7 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
45.6%

Alexey Vatutin
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Glinka's form might have worsened.

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexey Vatutin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Glinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Vatutin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Glinka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ITF Tournaments
20.02.24	Peter Buldorini - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.24	Tristan Lamasine - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Adrian Oetzbach - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.02.24	Arthur Bouquier - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	Loann Massard - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW
- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
20.02.24	Alexey Vatutin - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.24	Hazem Naw - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.02.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Alexey Vatutin	Vatutin A. retired ✺
28.01.24	Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Alexey Vatutin - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.23	Daniil Glinka - Alexey Vatutin	1:2

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